Words and what not: If it is only true

Sunday, October 17, 2010

If it is only true

When a growth of 60% is predicted for all the Wikipedia traffic from last month, it is a moment for a reality check. What is going on, are the numbers correct, if it is only true ...?

I did the obvious thing; I asked Erik Zachte. He had already noticed this anomaly and responded that he had added the numbers again and this gives the same numbers. The statistics are based on the numbers provided by Domas and perhaps something changed at his end.

I would love to believe the numbers; it is fantastic news but, when the numbers seem to be too good to be true they probably are.
Thanks,
GerardM

3 comments:

Nemo said...: I see only a +10 % growth now, from 12,966 in August to 14,299 M in September. It isn't so strange, we have similar fluctuations continuously (they're even bigger on other projects than Wikipedia).; 7:45 pm
GerardM said...: What you have to compare is the September numbers with the October predictions...; 9:37 pm
Nemo said...: Whoops, yes, I returned here to correct my statement. :-)
Usually I don't look at predictions :-p (that's also why they're not highlighted and percentage increase/decrease isn't calculated).
The thread on foundation-l: http://thread.gmane.org/gmane.org.wikimedia.foundation/48657; 1:48 am